Gruber point to an article that tracks down pundits who thought the iPhone would fail, and asks them what they think now.
One guy was surprised by the success. Translation: everyone else wrote that the iPhone wasn’t worth it, but fully expected it to succeed. This says something about their Jeremiah-like journalism or their complete cynicism for page views. Probably a little of both, but I’m leaning toward the latter.
It’s not until page three that someone mentions Android, Google’s big phone play. Then Enderle does, too, which is a pretty good indication that Android will fail.
Also this, from Enderle:
Apple could probably sell refrigerators to Eskimos
Well, yes, but that’s because Eskimos already buy refrigerators. They use them to keep food from freezing.